climate projections,Belgium,Representative Concentration Pathway,high resolution
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Mean key indicators on future climate for Belgium for precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, global solar radiation and potential evapotranspiration (spatial distributions are available through the WMS view service). The key indicators are derived from a multi-model ensemble of climate change signals or factors for a mean and high impact scenario (corresponding to respectively the 50th, and 5th or 95th percentile of the change factors), and for multiple future target years (2030, 2050, 2085, 2100).
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Annual and seasonal precipitation indices given in number of days: 1/ Wet days: Number of days with precipitation > 0.1 mm/day for winter, autumn, spring, summer; 2/ Dry days: Number of days with precipitation < 0.1 mm/day for winter, autumn, spring, summer; 3/ Average length of dry spells: Mean duration of minimum three consecutive days with precipitation < 0.1 mm/day; 4/ Maximum length of dry spells: Longest period of minimum three consecutive days with precipitation < 0.1 mm/day, occurring once in 20 years. The precipitation indices are available for the present target year 1975, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 1961-1990.
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Annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation amounts given in respectively mm/year, mm/3 months and mm/month. The precipitation amounts are available for the present target year 1975, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 1961-1990.
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Summer and winter mean wind speed given in m/s. The wind speed fields are available for the future target year 2085, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 2071-2100, and for mean and high impact scenarios corresponding respectively to the 50th and 95th percentiles of the change factors.
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Annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation amounts given in respectively mm/year, mm/3 months and mm/month. The precipitation amounts are available for the future target year 2085, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 2071-2100, and for mean and high impact scenarios corresponding to respectively the 50th, and 5th or 95th percentiles of the change factors.
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Summer and winter mean global solar radiation given in kWh/m²/day. The global solar radiations fields are available for the present target year 1975, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 1961-1990.
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Annual temperature extremes given in number of days: 1/ Total number of heatwaves occurring once in 20 years; 2/ Maximum length of the heatwaves occurring once in 20 years; 3/ Hot days: Mean annual number of days with maximum temperature > 25°C; 4/ Tropical days: Mean annual number of days with maximum temperature > 30°C; 5/ Frost days: Mean annual number of days with minimum temperature < 0°C. Heatwaves are defined according to the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium when the maximum temperature in Uccle is >= 25°C during at least 5 consecutive days, during which at least 3 days the maximum temperature is >= 30°C. The temperature extremes are available for the present target year 1975, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 1961-1990.
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The climate projections for Belgium are available as different data types: 1/ Daily climate model simulations and projections at a high spatial resolution of 0.025° or 2.8km for 3 Regional Climate Models (download service with NetCDF files): - ALARO-0 forced with the Global Climate Model ‘CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5’, calculated by RMIB-UGent; - COSMO-CLM5.0-TERRA-URB forced with the Global Climate model ‘ICHEC-EC-EARTH’, calculated by KULeuven; - COSMO-CLM5.0 forced with the Global Climate Model ‘MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR’, calculated by UCLouvain. 2/ Climate indicators for a present (1975) and future (2085) target year under a mean and high impact scenario (view and download service with raster files). The climate indicators for Belgium were obtained by a statistical downscaling based on the high-resolution Belgian climate model projections, as well as on a large set of both Global Climate Model runs (CMIP5) and Regional Climate Model runs for Europe (EURO-CORDEX).
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Summer and winter mean relative humidity given in %. The relative humidity fields are available for the present target year 1975, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 1961-1990.
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Summer and winter maximum daily precipitation given in mm/day that occur once in a year and once in 5, 10, 15 and 30 years (i.e. return periods of 1 year and 5, 10, 15, 30 years). The precipitation extremes are available for the present target year 1975, which corresponds to the middle of the 30-year period 1961-1990.