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Climate projections for Belgium

The climate projections for Belgium are available as different data types:

1/ Daily climate model simulations and projections at a high spatial resolution of 0.025° or 2.8km for 3 Regional Climate Models (download service with NetCDF files):

- ALARO-0 forced with the Global Climate Model ‘CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5’, calculated by RMIB-UGent;

- COSMO-CLM5.0-TERRA-URB forced with the Global Climate model ‘ICHEC-EC-EARTH’, calculated by KULeuven;

- COSMO-CLM5.0 forced with the Global Climate Model ‘MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR’, calculated by UCLouvain.



2/ Climate indicators for a present (1975) and future (2085) target year under a mean and high impact scenario (view and download service with raster files). The climate indicators for Belgium were obtained by a statistical downscaling based on the high-resolution Belgian climate model projections, as well as on a large set of both Global Climate Model runs (CMIP5) and Regional Climate Model runs for Europe (EURO-CORDEX).

Simple

Date (Creation)
2021-03-15
Date (Revision)
2021-03-15
Citation identifier
BCC-be / 22dc62f0-ca7f-11ee-9a71-847b573ec00f
Status
Completed
Point of contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Belgian Climate Centre

Rozemien De Troch

info-projections@climatecentre.be

Custodian
Maintenance and update frequency
As needed
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
  • Atmospheric conditions
Belgian Federal Thesaurus
  • Environmental data
  • Meteorology, weather and radiation conditions
Data.gov.be themes
  • Environment
INSPIRE feature concept dictionary
  • Abstract Monitoring Object
GEMET - Concept themes, version 4.01
  • atmospheric model
  • climatic change
  • climate change impact
Spatial scope
  • National
Keywords
  • climate projections,Belgium,Representative Concentration Pathway,high resolution

Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints

•The custodian of the resource holds the rights of property (including the rights of intellectual property) to the geographic files

•The custodian grants the user the right to use the data for his internal use.

•Commercial use of the data under any form is strictly forbidden

•Custodian’s name must be mentioned each time the data are being used publically.

Access constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
No limitations on public access
Use limitation

•The custodian of the resource holds the rights of property (including the rights of intellectual property) to the geographic files

•The custodian grants the user the right to use the data for his internal use.

•Commercial use of the data under any form is strictly forbidden

•Custodian’s name must be mentioned each time the data are being used publically.

Language
English
Character set
8859 Part 15
Description

Belgium

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Unique resource identifier
EPSG:4326

Digital transfer options

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name

WWW:DOWNLOAD-1.0-ftp--download

https://ac.ngi.be/catalogue/getopenaccess/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre?treeview=true

WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link

https://ac.ngi.be/remoteclient-open/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre/UserGuide/User_guide_climate_indicators_geobe.pdf

https://ac.ngi.be/remoteclient-open/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre/UserGuide/User_guide_climate_indicators_geobe.pdf

WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link

https://ac.ngi.be/remoteclient-open/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre/UserGuide/User guide for daily climate model simulations and projections for Belgium.pdf

https://ac.ngi.be/remoteclient-open/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre/UserGuide/User guide for daily climate model simulations and projections for Belgium.pdf

WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link

https://ac.ngi.be/remoteclient-open/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre/UserGuide/User guide geo.be.pdf

https://ac.ngi.be/remoteclient-open/GeoBePartners-open/BelgianClimateCentre/UserGuide/User guide geo.be.pdf

Hierarchy level
Dataset

Domain consistency

Name of measure

INSPIRE Conformity

Conformance result

Title
COMMISSION REGULATION (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services
Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Explanation

The dataset’s compliance with the technical requirements as defined by the Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 has not been checked

Statement

1/ Daily climate model simulations and projections at a high spatial resolution of 0.025° or 2.8km for 3 Regional Climate Models (download service with NetCDF files):

The daily climate simulations and projections for Belgium were produced in the context of the Belspo funded CORDEX.be I project (2015-2017). These climate model data in NetCDF format for 3 Regional Climate Models (ALARO-0, COSMO-CLM5.0-TERRA-URB and COSMO-CLM5.0) were obtained through a dynamical downscaling of Global Climate Modeldata, after which a regridding to a common 0.025° or 2.8km grid has been applied. Historical model simulations (1975-2005) and projections according to multiple emission scenarios or Representative Concentration Pathways (rcp26, rcp45, rcp85) as used in the Fifth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report are available for the parameters:

1. huss = near-surface specific humidity at 2 m [1]

2. hurs = near-surface relative humidity at 2 m [%]

3. pr = precipitation [kg m-2 s-1]; to get precipitation in mm/day, the data should be multiplied by 60*60*24 = 86400

4. ps = surface air pressure [Pa]

5. rsds = surface incoming shortwave radiation [W m-2]

6. tas = average near-surface air temperature at 2 m [K]

7. tasmax = maximum near-surface air temperature at 2 m [K]

8. tasmin = minimum near-surface air temperature at 2 m [K]

9. uas = eastward near-surface wind at 10 m [m s-1]

10. vas = northward near-surface wind at 10 m [m s-1]



All information and background on the use of the data can be found in the user guide (see link below).

More information on the Regional Climate Models as used in the CORDEX.be I project can be found in the scientific paper Termonia et al. (2018), Tables 2 and 3: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880717300195?via%3Dihub or https://www.belspo.be/belspo/brain-be/projects/FinalReports/CORDEXbe_FinRep_AD.pdf.



Climate model simulations and projections for Belgium from the Regional Climate Model called ‘MAR’, which are forced by the latest CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (or SSP) as used in the Sixth and latest IPCC Assessment Report, are available through the University of Liège by:

- FTP on ftp://climato.be/fettweis/MARv3.14/Belgium/

- HTTP on http://phypc15.geo.ulg.ac.be/fettweis/MARv3.14/Belgium/

The model outputs are available by degree of warming (ref/, 2deg/ using ssp370, 3deg/ using ssp370, 4deg/ using ssp585) or by full time series (the 4 SSP) in src/.

Belgian climate simulations and projections for other Regional Climate Models (ALARO-0 – RMIB-UGent, COSMO-CLM - KULeuven) in line with the latest emission scenarios or Shared Socioeconomic Pathways are currently produced in the CORDEX.be II project and will be available by 2026 ( https://cordex.meteo.be/).



2/ Climate indicators for a present (1975) and future (2085) target year under a mean and high impact scenario (view and download service with raster files):

In the follow-up Belspo funded 'CICADA' project (2019-2021, https://www.belspo.be/belspo/brain-be/projects/FinalReports/CICADAbe_FinRep.pdf), these Belgian climate model projections were used to adjust the spread of climate change signals based on the larger model ensemble of all available CMIP5 Global Climate Model runs ( https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/mips/cmip5/) and EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Model runs ( https://euro-cordex.net/060378/index.php.en). This multi-model ensemble of climate change signals or factors were used to apply a statistical downscaling or more specifically a quantile perturbation method on the observational climate grid from the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium. From those ensembles, 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles of changes, corresponding to a mean (50th percentiles) and high (5th or 95th percentiles) impact scenario, were obtained for the variables: precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, global solar radiation and potential evapotranspiration.

Metadata

File identifier
22dc62f0-ca7f-11ee-9a71-847b573ec00f XML
Metadata language
English
Character set
UTF8
Hierarchy level
Dataset
Date stamp
2026-01-27T13:07:30
Metadata standard name

ISO 19115:2003/19139

Metadata standard version

1.0

Metadata author
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Belgian Climate Centre

Rozemien De Troch

info-projections@climatecentre.be

Point of contact
Other language
Language Character encoding
Dutch; Flemish
French
German
English UTF8
 
 

Overviews

overview

Spatial extent

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S
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Keywords

climate projections,Belgium,Representative Concentration Pathway,high resolution
Belgian Federal Thesaurus

Environmental data Meteorology, weather and radiation conditions
Data.gov.be themes

Environment
GEMET - Concept themes, version 4.01

atmospheric model climate change impact climatic change
GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

Atmospheric conditions
INSPIRE feature concept dictionary

Abstract Monitoring Object
Spatial scope

National


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